Surgimiento y desarrollo del método Delphi: una perspectiva cienciométrica

Miguel Cruz Ramírez, José Alberto Rúa Vásquez

Resumen


El presente trabajo tiene como objetivo caracterizar el desarrollo del método Delphi, a partir de indicadores cienciométricos relacionados con publicaciones de elevados índices de calidad. A partir de una búsqueda automatizada en Scopus se conforma una base de datos de 10341 documentos, registrados desde 1969. Como principales resultados, se observa un crecimiento acelerado de la actividad científico-técnica relacionada con este método, se constata el impacto de los documentos publicados en una amplia heterogeneidad de campos del conocimiento científico, se identifican colegios invisibles determinados por complejas redes de colaboración científica, y también se exploran nuevas áreas y tendencias de desarrollo. Aunque la marcada variedad de terminologías afines al método Delphi obstaculizan el procesamiento de la información, se concluye que las técnicas cienciométricas son efectivas para caracterizar el desarrollo de este método, incluso más allá del marco de la prospectiva.


Palabras clave


Cienciometría; Método Delphi; Producción científica; Scopus; Técnica Delphi

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Referencias


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.5195/biblios.2018.470

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